Venerosos gold market model indicates that central bank loans. Veneroso inferred that central bank gold sales had arti. Oct 23, 20 in his now celebrated the 1998 gold book annual, frank veneroso demonstrated the inconsistencies in gfms gold demand data and proceeded to show how they grossly underestimated demand. When i first got involved in gold, i came to the conclusion, based on frank venerosos book, the gold book annual 1998 jefferson financial, 1998, that. The socalled masters of the universe james turk blog.
How is what is happening today different than the controversy frank veneroso outlined in the 1998 gold book annual in 1998. Gold supplydemand, gold derivatives and gold loans by. The wgc resisted all offers of assistance from frank veneroso when he suggested that its figures were significantly understating physical demand. In 1998, he authored the groundbreaking gold book, detailing how years of central bank gold loans and sales had artificially depressed the gold price, and positioned the metal for a powerful rebound. Gold discussion for investors and market analysts 19980117. When i first got involved in gold, i came to the conclusion, based on frank venerosos book, the gold book annual 1998 jefferson financial, 1998, that the gold market was being. The tremendous increase in the price of gold over the. The manipulation of gold is selfevident spdr gold trust. Oct 22, 20 in his now celebrated the 1998 gold book annual, frank veneroso demonstrated the inconsistencies in gfms gold demand data and proceeded to show how they grossly underestimated demand. Oct 05, 2012 we were introduced to it through the work of frank veneroso, who published an outstanding report on the gold market in 1998 aptly titled, the 1998 gold book annual. Do western central banks have any gold left banner. We calculated that, for the years 19911996, the wgc data series showed annual demand growth that averaged 1. In the gold book annual 1998 we assumed that the world gold councils wgc coverage.
His 1998 gold book annual made the case that the consensus supply and demand view of the gold market established by gfms ltd. Erci sprott amp gold and precious metals portfolio. This 0 tonne estimate comes from the 1998 gold book annual written by frank veneroso, which in my view is one of the best analyses available of the supply, demand and movement of gold bullion. May, 20 the estimations of wellknown gold expert frank veneroso, who published an outstanding report on the gold market in 1998 entitled the 1998 gold book annual, are even more dramatic. Dear world gold council executives ainslie bullion. Aug 06, 2014 in frank venerosos1998 gold book annual, he concluded that central bank gold leasing had artificially suppressed the full extent of gold demand to the tune of approximately 1,600 tonnes per. Central banks were officially on record as owning 35,000. Nov 26, 2012 we were introduced to it through the work of frank veneroso, who published an outstanding report on the gold market in 1998 aptly titled, the 1998 gold book annual. Veneroso inferred that central bank gold sales had artificially suppressed the full extent of gold demand to the tune of approximately 1,600 tonnes per year in an. Wsj oct 7, 1998 everybody in the financial world has reached the conclusion that over time equity prices are consistent winners and that gold is irrelevant. It is not the first time that gfms and world gold council statistics come under pressure from the investment community. By veneroso associates may 27, 1998 executive summary the nasdaq sells at 76 times earnings. See, for instance, michael richardson, asian turmoil raises fears of civil violence, international herald tribune, october 16, 1998, 1.
The tremendous increase in the price of gold over the following. In frank venerosos1998 gold book annual, he concluded that central bank gold leasing had artificially suppressed the full extent of gold demand to the tune of approximately 1,600 tonnes per. Similarly, when publicly reported figures on gold derivatives supported franks views and suggested that official gold lending greatly exceeded prior estimates, the wgc. Frank veneroso did foundational work that led to the creation of gata gold antitrust action. In it, he meticulously compiled statistics to demonstrate that the amount of leased gold was grossly understated. Frank veneroso is arguably the foremost mind on gold supply and demand flows. Frank veneroso wrote an extensive analytical report called the 1998 gold book annual. Price new from used from paperback, 1998 please retry paperback. Nov 19, 20 frank veneroso wrote a tremendous book in 1998 suggesting that, instead of having 36,000 tons of gold, the central banks really only owned about 18,000 tons, and that they had been supplying gold. Gold discussion for investors and market analysts kitco inc. World gold council amp gold and precious metals portfolio. We came to this interpretation by looking at the incomes of the countries that the wgc surveys and comparing their aggregate incomes to the aggregate incomes of those countries it does not.
Veneroso estimated that total fabricator borrowings might reach 2000 tonnes. Editorials and essays by frank veneroso are available on the gold newsletter for a modest fee. If frank venerosos conclusions were even close to accurate back in 1998 and we believe they were, when coupled with the 2,300 tonne net change in annual demand we can easily identify above, it can only lead to the conclusion that a large portion of the western central banks stated 23,000 tonnes of gold reserves are merely a paper entry. The gold newsletter stands as the oldest and most respected precious metals and mining stock advisory in the world. Accordingly, veneroso and the gold antitrust action committee gata identified that central banks could report owning over 30,000 tonnes. I remember meeting jim way back, and discussing the. Some have pointed out that forwards and swaps include gold borrowed into inventory by jewelry manufacturers and other gold fabricators which has not yet been sold into the market. Gold derivatives, gold lending, official management of the. Mar 20, 20 the gold bars are part of their respective foreign currency reserves, which include all the usual fiat currencies like the dollar, the pound, the yen and the euro. Veneroso graduated cum laude from harvard university. Frank venerosos utterances in this regard originated from information fed to him back in the 1990s about gold lending and swapping via central banks and bullion banks by bank of england gold head.
In his now celebrated the 1998 gold book annual, frank veneroso demonstrated the inconsistencies in gfms gold demand data and proceeded to show how they grossly underestimated demand. See all formats and editions hide other formats and editions. See frank veneroso, the 1998 gold book annual jefferson financial, 1998, esp. We were introduced to it through the work of frank veneroso, who published an outstanding report on the gold market in 1998 aptly titled, the 1998 gold book annual.
In the gold book annual 1998 we compared growth in the estimates of demands for gold of the wgc and gfms. In the gold book annual frank veneroso estimates the total at 8000 tons. Nov 20, 20 frank veneroso wrote a tremendous book in 1998 suggesting that, instead of having 36,000 tons of gold, the central banks really only owned about 18,000 tons, and that they had been supplying gold to the market. Why did veneroso associates assume in the gold book annual that the world gold council survey encompassed at the time roughly 80% of only those markets the council surveys and not all markets for gold use. Veneroso, frank, the 1998 gold book annual, jefferson financial, jefferson, louisiana. Nov 18, 20 frank veneroso wrote a tremendous book in 1998 suggesting that, instead of having 36,000 tons of gold, the central banks really only owned about 18,000 tons, and that they had been supplying gold. In a recent gold watch we argued that, if the wgc demand surveys encompass 83. It is not the first time that gfms and world gold council statistics have come under pressure from the investment community. Frank veneroso is the managing partner of veneroso associates, which provides global research to institutional investors.
In his report, veneroso comes to the conclusion that the sale of gold by central banks has artificially suppressed the total volume of demand for gold by. Veneroso s gold market model indicates that central bank loans. Eric sprotts open letter to the world gold council. In his now celebrated the 1998 gold book annual, frank veneroso demonstrated the inconsistencies in gfms gold demand data and proceeded to.
Veneroso inferred that central bank gold sales had artificially suppressed the full extent of gold demand to the tune of approximately. Read, highlight, and take notes, across web, tablet, and phone. If frank venerosos conclusions were even close to accurate back in 1998 frank veneroso published an outstanding report on the gold market in 1998 aptly titled, the 1998 gold book annual. Gold supplydemand, gold derivatives and gold loans by frank.
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